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Cape Coral and Southwest Florida Online Weather: Forums

Cape Coral Online Weather :: View topic - EDOUARD
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EDOUARD
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Post new topic   Reply to topic    Cape Coral Online Weather Forum Index -> 2008 Hurricane Season Discussion
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ccstorms
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PostPosted: Sat Aug 02, 2008 2:34 pm    Post subject: EDOUARD Reply with quote

The NHC has started Invest 91L for the disturbance in the Gulf.

29.5N, 87.0W, Winds 20 kts, pressure 1009 mb.
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This post is for discussion purposes only. Please refer to the National Hurricane Center for official information.

Lou
Cape Coral.
http://members.tripod.com/weatherman911/index.html

http://wxman911-louwxwatch.blogspot.com/


Last edited by ccstorms on Mon Aug 04, 2008 6:28 pm; edited 3 times in total
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ccstorms
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PostPosted: Sat Aug 02, 2008 2:40 pm    Post subject: Re: EDOUARD Reply with quote

[/url]
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Lou
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ccstorms
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PostPosted: Sat Aug 02, 2008 2:42 pm    Post subject: Re: EDOUARD Reply with quote

TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1829 UTC SAT AUG 2 2008

DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.

ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR

DISTURBANCE INVEST (AL912008) 20080802 1800 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS...
080802 1800 080803 0600 080803 1800 080804 0600

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 29.5N 87.0W 28.6N 87.6W 28.0N 88.9W 27.2N 90.7W
BAMD 29.5N 87.0W 28.5N 87.6W 27.8N 88.9W 27.5N 90.7W
BAMM 29.5N 87.0W 28.5N 87.8W 27.7N 89.4W 27.1N 91.5W
LBAR 29.5N 87.0W 28.8N 87.1W 28.6N 87.9W 28.7N 89.2W
SHIP 20KTS 24KTS 31KTS 36KTS
DSHP 20KTS 24KTS 31KTS 36KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS...
080804 1800 080805 1800 080806 1800 080807 1800

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 27.5N 92.7W 28.7N 96.9W 30.9N 100.5W 33.5N 102.1W
BAMD 27.6N 92.9W 29.2N 97.6W 31.1N 102.2W 32.8N 105.4W
BAMM 27.2N 93.9W 28.2N 98.4W 29.9N 102.5W 31.8N 105.2W
LBAR 29.1N 90.8W 30.1N 94.4W 31.5N 96.9W 32.1N 97.0W
SHIP 44KTS 54KTS 58KTS 62KTS
DSHP 44KTS 38KTS 28KTS 27KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 29.5N LONCUR = 87.0W DIRCUR = 170DEG SPDCUR = 5KT
LATM12 = 30.9N LONM12 = 87.3W DIRM12 = 168DEG SPDM12 = 4KT
LATM24 = 32.5N LONM24 = 87.6W
WNDCUR = 20KT RMAXWD = 20NM WNDM12 = 20KT
CENPRS = 1009MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD = 150NM SDEPTH = D
RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM
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Lou
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chris
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PostPosted: Sat Aug 02, 2008 3:06 pm    Post subject: Re: EDOUARD Reply with quote

Expires:No;;070234
ABNT20 KNHC 021738
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT SAT AUG 2 2008

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...
A SURFACE TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE ACCOMPANIED BY CLOUDINESS AND
SHOWERS HAS MOVED INTO THE NORTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO. LITTLE
MOTION IS ANTICIPATED TODAY OR SUNDAY...AND ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS APPEAR TO BE FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT
DAY OR TWO. IF NECESSARY...A RECONNAISSANCE PLANE WILL INVESTIGATE
THE AREA ON SUNDAY.
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ccstorms
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PostPosted: Sat Aug 02, 2008 3:24 pm    Post subject: Re: EDOUARD Reply with quote


_________________
This post is for discussion purposes only. Please refer to the National Hurricane Center for official information.

Lou
Cape Coral.
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http://wxman911-louwxwatch.blogspot.com/
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Weatherman911
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PostPosted: Sat Aug 02, 2008 4:39 pm    Post subject: Re: EDOUARD Reply with quote


_________________
Todd
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chris
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PostPosted: Sat Aug 02, 2008 4:54 pm    Post subject: Re: EDOUARD Reply with quote


_________________
Chris
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chris
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PostPosted: Sat Aug 02, 2008 5:05 pm    Post subject: Re: EDOUARD Reply with quote


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Chris
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ccstorms
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PostPosted: Sat Aug 02, 2008 6:57 pm    Post subject: Re: EDOUARD Reply with quote

Here is the last four location plots for 91L showing a slow southward movement.

AL, 91, 20080802..00z 31.1N, 87.3W,
AL, 91, 20080802..06z 30.9N, 87.3W,
AL, 91, 20080802..12z 30.3N, 87.1W,
AL, 91, 20080802..18z 29.5N, 87.0W,
_________________
This post is for discussion purposes only. Please refer to the National Hurricane Center for official information.

Lou
Cape Coral.
http://members.tripod.com/weatherman911/index.html

http://wxman911-louwxwatch.blogspot.com/
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ccstorms
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PostPosted: Sat Aug 02, 2008 8:49 pm    Post subject: Re: EDOUARD Reply with quote

TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT SAT AUG 2 2008

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A SURFACE TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE ACCOMPANIED BY CLOUDINESS AND
SHOWERS IS LOCATED IN THE NORTH-CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO. SURFACE
PRESSURES ARE FALLING IN THE AREA...AND ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS
APPEAR TO BE FAVORABLE FOR SLOW DEVELOPMENT. THIS SYSTEM COULD
BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT
MOVES SLOWLY TO THE WEST OR WEST-SOUTHWEST. A RECONNAISSANCE PLANE
WILL INVESTIGATE THE AREA ON SUNDAY...IF NECESSARY.
_________________
This post is for discussion purposes only. Please refer to the National Hurricane Center for official information.

Lou
Cape Coral.
http://members.tripod.com/weatherman911/index.html

http://wxman911-louwxwatch.blogspot.com/
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