Posted: Sun Aug 10, 2008 7:17 am Post subject: Tropical Storm FAY
The middle area of convection near 42W is now Invest 92L.
10.8N, 41.3W, Winds 25 kts _________________ This post is for discussion purposes only. Please refer to the National Hurricane Center for official information.
Posted: Sun Aug 10, 2008 7:46 am Post subject: Re: Tropical Storm FAY
BUY ONE, GET ONE FREE.
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT SUN AUG 10 2008
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED
OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC ABOUT 1200 MILES EAST OF THE WINDWARD
ISLANDS HAVE BECOME A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED THIS MORNING. SOME
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT ABOUT 15 TO 20 MPH.
A LARGE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED OVER THE EASTERN
ATLANTIC SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.
WHILE THERE ARE CURRENTLY NO SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION...THIS SYSTEM
HAS THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS
IT MOVES WESTWARD AT ABOUT 15 MPH.
ELSEWHERE.. TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.
$$
FORECASTER RHOME/PASCH _________________ This post is for discussion purposes only. Please refer to the National Hurricane Center for official information.
Posted: Sun Aug 10, 2008 8:52 am Post subject: Re: Tropical Storm FAY
Latest plot.
10.8N, 43.0W, Winds 25 kts, Pressure 1009 MB. _________________ This post is for discussion purposes only. Please refer to the National Hurricane Center for official information.
Joined: Jun 20, 2005 Posts: 524 Location: Cape Coral, Fl.
Posted: Sun Aug 10, 2008 8:52 am Post subject: Re: Tropical Storm FAY
The Weather Channel earlier this morning reffered to what is now Invest 92 as the "Leader". Then went on to say when several systems emerge at the same time the "Leader" most often is over run by the second system following behind it and becomes the area to watch for development. If that's the case then the one in the middle should be the one of greatest concern. Can anyone explain this further? Also long range models showing the Bermuda High weakening over the western Atlantic late in the runs. One to watch for us and the east coast?
bob _________________ Sit back, relax and enjoy the show!
Posted: Sun Aug 10, 2008 9:09 am Post subject: Re: Tropical Storm FAY
Ships models bring it to Hurricane status in the Caribbean.
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1254 UTC SUN AUG 10 2008
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
Posted: Sun Aug 10, 2008 9:18 am Post subject: Re: Tropical Storm FAY
bob wrote:
The Weather Channel earlier this morning reffered to what is now Invest 92 as the "Leader". Then went on to say when several systems emerge at the same time the "Leader" most often is over run by the second system following behind it and becomes the area to watch for development. If that's the case then the one in the middle should be the one of greatest concern. Can anyone explain this further? Also long range models showing the Bermuda High weakening over the western Atlantic late in the runs. One to watch for us and the east coast?
bob
Right now there is 10 degrees of separation between 92L and the one to the east. That should be enough distance to have both develop unless 92L slows down. Weakening of the Bermuda high is a factor for recurve but it will depend where the systems are when the western extent of the Bermuda high erodes or retreats eastward. Much too early and long range models are very unreliable. _________________ This post is for discussion purposes only. Please refer to the National Hurricane Center for official information.
All times are GMT - 4 Hours Goto page 1, 2, 3 ... 39, 40, 41Next
Page 1 of 41
You cannot post new topics in this forum You cannot reply to topics in this forum You cannot edit your posts in this forum You cannot delete your posts in this forum You cannot vote in polls in this forum
Weather
Radar
Satellite
Lightning
Forecast
Tropics
Almanac
Live Products
Fishing Reports
Other Info
Weblinks
Site Sponsors
Forum FAQ
Search
Usergroups
Profile
Check your private messages
Log in
New Today: 0
Online Stats: