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Cape Coral | Southwest Florida Weather :: View topic - Gert- Final Advisory
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Gert- Final Advisory
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Post new topic   Reply to topic    Cape Coral | Southwest Florida Weather Forum Index -> 2017 Atlantic Basin Hurricane Season Discussion
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ccstorms
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Joined: Jul 10, 2006
Posts: 13143
Location: Cape Coral

PostPosted: Thu Aug 03, 2017 5:44 am    Post subject: Gert- Final Advisory Reply with quote

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Thu Aug 3 2017

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. A large area of showers and thunderstorms centered about 500 miles
southeast of the Cabo Verde Islands is associated with a vigorous
tropical wave. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive
for gradual development, and a tropical depression could form by
early next week over the eastern or central tropical Atlantic
Ocean. This system is forecast to move toward the west or
west-northwest at 10 to 15 mph for the next several days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.

Forecaster Stewart



Last edited by ccstorms on Thu Aug 17, 2017 4:17 pm; edited 17 times in total
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ccstorms
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Joined: Jul 10, 2006
Posts: 13143
Location: Cape Coral

PostPosted: Thu Aug 03, 2017 5:45 am    Post subject: Re: Gert- Final Advisory Reply with quote



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ccstorms
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Joined: Jul 10, 2006
Posts: 13143
Location: Cape Coral

PostPosted: Thu Aug 03, 2017 5:52 am    Post subject: Re: Gert- Final Advisory Reply with quote

06Z GFS at 168 hrs.

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ccstorms
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Joined: Jul 10, 2006
Posts: 13143
Location: Cape Coral

PostPosted: Thu Aug 03, 2017 1:25 pm    Post subject: Re: Gert- Final Advisory Reply with quote

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Thu Aug 3 2017

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. A vigorous tropical wave accompanied by a broad low pressure system
is producing a large area of cloudiness and showers more than 300
miles south-southeast of the Cabo Verde Islands. Environmental
conditions are forecast to be conducive for gradual development, and
a tropical depression is likely to form by early next week over the
eastern or central tropical Atlantic Ocean. This system is forecast
to move toward the west or west-northwest at 10 to 15 mph for the
next several days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

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ccstorms
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Senior Member


Joined: Jul 10, 2006
Posts: 13143
Location: Cape Coral

PostPosted: Thu Aug 03, 2017 4:49 pm    Post subject: Re: Gert- Final Advisory Reply with quote

18Z GFS at 168 hrs.


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ccstorms
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Senior Member


Joined: Jul 10, 2006
Posts: 13143
Location: Cape Coral

PostPosted: Thu Aug 03, 2017 7:11 pm    Post subject: Re: Gert- Final Advisory Reply with quote

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Thu Aug 3 2017

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A large and complex area of disturbed weather, associated with a
broad low pressure system, extends from about 400 miles south of
the Cabo Verde Islands to about 600 miles southwest of the Cabo
Verde Islands. Environmental conditions are forecast to be
conducive for gradual consolidation and development, and a tropical
depression is likely to form by early next week over the eastern or
central tropical Atlantic Ocean. This system is forecast to move
toward the west or west-northwest at 10 to 15 mph for the
next several days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.
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ccstorms
Senior Member
Senior Member


Joined: Jul 10, 2006
Posts: 13143
Location: Cape Coral

PostPosted: Fri Aug 04, 2017 2:58 am    Post subject: Re: Gert- Final Advisory Reply with quote

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Fri Aug 4 2017

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A large and complex area of disturbed weather, associated with a
broad low pressure system, extends from about 400 miles south of
the Cabo Verde Islands to about 600 miles southwest of the Cabo
Verde Islands. Environmental conditions are forecast to be
conducive for gradual consolidation and development, and a tropical
depression is likely to form by early next week over the eastern or
central tropical Atlantic Ocean. This system is forecast to move
toward the west or west-northwest at 10 to 15 mph for the
next several days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.
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ccstorms
Senior Member
Senior Member


Joined: Jul 10, 2006
Posts: 13143
Location: Cape Coral

PostPosted: Fri Aug 04, 2017 3:36 am    Post subject: Re: Gert- Final Advisory Reply with quote

00Z GFS at 168 hours.

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ccstorms
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Senior Member


Joined: Jul 10, 2006
Posts: 13143
Location: Cape Coral

PostPosted: Fri Aug 04, 2017 11:53 am    Post subject: Re: Gert- Final Advisory Reply with quote

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Fri Aug 4 2017

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A broad and elongated area of low pressure is producing disorganized
shower and thunderstorm activity several hundred miles south and
southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. Environmental conditions
appear conducive for this system to consolidate and develop during
the next few days, and a tropical depression is likely to form by
the early or middle part of next week while moving
west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph across the tropical Atlantic
Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.
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ccstorms
Senior Member
Senior Member


Joined: Jul 10, 2006
Posts: 13143
Location: Cape Coral

PostPosted: Sat Aug 05, 2017 3:59 am    Post subject: Re: Gert- Final Advisory Reply with quote

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Sat Aug 5 2017

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Showers and thunderstorms extending from the Cabo Verde Islands
southwestward across the tropical Atlantic are associated with an
elongated area of low pressure. This system remains poorly
organized, but environmental conditions are expected to become a
little more favorable for this system to consolidate, and a tropical
depression could form early next week while it moves toward the
west-northwest at 15 to 20 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

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