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Today: Sunny, with a high near 65. North northeast wind 6 to 9 mph.
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Tonight: Mostly clear, with a low around 49. Northwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm  in the evening.
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Cape Coral | Southwest Florida Weather :: View topic - HURRICANE RITA DISCUSSION
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HURRICANE RITA DISCUSSION
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This forum is locked: you cannot post, reply to, or edit topics.   This topic is locked: you cannot edit posts or make replies.    Cape Coral | Southwest Florida Weather Forum Index -> 2005 Atlantic Basin Hurricane Season
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SW46TER
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PostPosted: Thu Sep 22, 2005 8:26 am    Post subject: Re: HURRICANE RITA DISCUSSION Reply with quote

Note the dark space pinching down between the two orange blobs along the Gulf Coast. This is a weak cold front further North that is weakening the ridge (orange) in the middle. This may very well be the reason Rita has been periodically angling North as she may be sensing this weakness.

http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/satelli...uration=12

Remember, a hurricanes mission is to redistribute heat from the tropics to the more Northen latitudes. Any opportunity it finds to gain latitude, it will take..
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SW46TER
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PostPosted: Thu Sep 22, 2005 11:59 am    Post subject: Re: HURRICANE RITA DISCUSSION Reply with quote

Got to run out for awhile but if this NW trend continues, SW Louisiana is where she will wind up and Baton Rouge and N.O will have big concerns. Houston and Galveston probably spared the worst now as storm will come in north of them IMO. Latest upper air soundings show high pressure ridge weakening so I don't see any reason why Rita begins to head more Westerly again. Lets change landfall to 30 miles either side of the TX/LA border. Will narrow it down to smaller window later tonight if movement doesn't become erratic...........Still as Cat 4.......140-145 mph storm upon landfall ....
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slidell05
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PostPosted: Thu Sep 22, 2005 12:15 pm    Post subject: Chris's Aunt in Slidell, La Reply with quote

Do you see anything that would indicate that we might get this again before I head to the attic? We are getting so many conflicting messages down here......
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chris
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PostPosted: Thu Sep 22, 2005 1:40 pm    Post subject: Slidell, La. Reply with quote

Debbie, below I've included a link for you to look at that should give you an idea of where its heading. It updates every 1/2 hour to give you some clue and to keep you updated. Jeff, do you feel this has any threat to the Slidell, La. area? One of my relatives lives up there and shes looking for an opinion before she has to get back up in her attic with an ax. Shocked

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT...-loop.html
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porkerp
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PostPosted: Thu Sep 22, 2005 5:42 pm    Post subject: Re: HURRICANE RITA DISCUSSION Reply with quote

Leading edge of storm on new orleans radar

http://radar.weather.gov/radar/loop/DS....klix.shtml
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SW46TER
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PostPosted: Thu Sep 22, 2005 6:02 pm    Post subject: Re: HURRICANE RITA DISCUSSION Reply with quote

Sorry folks, been having problems getting on board. The Slidel, N.O. area is safe. You will not need to seek refuge in your attic. While you may receive TS gusts in rain bands passing through, the winds will not be an issue. The issue may be after landfall (especially if in extreme SW LA) Rita may slow to a crawl or even stall about 75-100 miles inland. At that point rainbands coming SE to NW over LA to the storm center could set up localized rain totals approaching 8-12 inches+. Since it impossible now to predict where these bands will set up, I cannot promise you no flooding yet......
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SW46TER
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PostPosted: Thu Sep 22, 2005 6:38 pm    Post subject: Re: HURRICANE RITA DISCUSSION Reply with quote

By the way, if you follow the line of storms over us now, it extends from North of Cuba ,through us NNW into the Gulf , then due West to the Northern portion of the storm center 425 miles away......quite impressive Exclamation
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porkerp
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PostPosted: Thu Sep 22, 2005 6:55 pm    Post subject: Re: HURRICANE RITA DISCUSSION Reply with quote

a newer water vapor loop


http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/satelli...duration=8
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chris
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PostPosted: Thu Sep 22, 2005 7:11 pm    Post subject: Re: HURRICANE RITA DISCUSSION Reply with quote

I will be in the chat room around 930 EDT if anybody wants to join in.

http://www.capeweather.com/chat-intro.html
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porkerp
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PostPosted: Thu Sep 22, 2005 8:20 pm    Post subject: Re: HURRICANE RITA DISCUSSION Reply with quote

where has our resident meteoroligist been tonight? Awful quiet night from the 46th man. What gives? we are looking for some insight Laughing
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