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Lee County Forecast
Tonight

Tonight: Mostly clear, with a low around 49. West northwest wind around 11 mph becoming north after midnight.
Mostly Clear
Wednesday

Wednesday: Sunny, with a high near 66. North northeast wind 8 to 10 mph becoming northwest in the afternoon.
Sunny
Lo 49 °FHi 66 °F
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Cape Coral | Southwest Florida Weather :: View topic - Atlantic Tropic Watch
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Atlantic Tropic Watch
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Post new topic   This topic is locked: you cannot edit posts or make replies.    Cape Coral | Southwest Florida Weather Forum Index -> 2014 Atlantic Basin Hurricane Season
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ccstorms
Senior Member
Senior Member


Joined: Jul 10, 2006
Posts: 13143
Location: Cape Coral

PostPosted: Tue Nov 04, 2014 4:13 am    Post subject: Re: Atlantic Tropic Watch Reply with quote

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
100 AM EST TUE NOV 4 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

An area of low pressure is expected to form to the north of
Hispaniola in a couple of days. This system could briefly acquire
subtropical characteristics before it moves northward, and then
northeastward, and merges with a frontal system by the end of the
week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

$$
Forecaster Pasch
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ccstorms
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Senior Member


Joined: Jul 10, 2006
Posts: 13143
Location: Cape Coral

PostPosted: Tue Nov 04, 2014 6:37 am    Post subject: Re: Atlantic Tropic Watch Reply with quote

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
700 AM EST TUE NOV 4 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

An area of disturbed weather located a few hundred miles north of
Puerto Rico is associated with the southern end of a frontal
boundary. A low pressure area could form in this area during the
next day or so, and it could briefly acquire subtropical
characteristics tomorrow or Thursday. After that time, development
is not expected while the system moves north-northeastward and
merges with another frontal system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi



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ccstorms
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Senior Member


Joined: Jul 10, 2006
Posts: 13143
Location: Cape Coral

PostPosted: Tue Nov 04, 2014 12:15 pm    Post subject: Re: Atlantic Tropic Watch Reply with quote

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
ISSUED BY THE NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
100 PM EST TUE NOV 4 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

An area of disturbed weather located a few hundred miles north of
Puerto Rico is associated with the southern end of a frontal
boundary. A low pressure area could form in this area during the
next day or so, and it could briefly acquire subtropical
characteristics tomorrow or Thursday. After that time, development
is not expected while the system moves north-northeastward and
merges with another frontal system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

$$
Forecaster Hurley
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ccstorms
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Joined: Jul 10, 2006
Posts: 13143
Location: Cape Coral

PostPosted: Tue Nov 04, 2014 6:03 pm    Post subject: Re: Atlantic Tropic Watch Reply with quote

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
700 PM EST TUE NOV 4 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A large area of disturbed weather is located over the northeastern
Caribbean Sea and extends northward across Puerto Rico and the
Virgin Islands, and continues over the Atlantic Ocean for several
hundred miles. Surface pressures are gradually falling across this
region and a low pressure system could form during the next day or
so. This system could briefly acquire subtropical characteristics
tomorrow or on Thursday while the low moves west-northwestward to
northwestward. After that time, development is not expected while
the disturbance moves north-northeastward and eventually merges with
another frontal system. Regardless of development, locally heavy
rainfall and possible flooding can be expected across the Virgin
Islands, Puerto Rico, and portions of the Dominican Republic
tonight and Wednesday. For additional information on the heavy
rainfall threat, please consult products issued by your national
meteorological service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Stewart

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ccstorms
Senior Member
Senior Member


Joined: Jul 10, 2006
Posts: 13143
Location: Cape Coral

PostPosted: Wed Nov 05, 2014 3:58 am    Post subject: Re: Atlantic Tropic Watch Reply with quote

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
100 AM EST WED NOV 5 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A large area of disturbed weather extending northward from the
northeastern Caribbean Sea into the Atlantic for several hundred
miles is associated with a weak surface trough. A low pressure
system could form in this area within the next day or two, and
this system could briefly acquire subtropical characteristics
while the low moves generally northwestward. By late in the week,
additional development is not expected while the disturbance moves
north-northeastward and merges with a frontal zone. Regardless of
development, locally heavy rainfall and possible flooding can be
expected across the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, and portions of the
Dominican Republic today and tonight. For additional information on
the heavy rainfall threat, please consult products issued by your
national meteorological service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Pasch
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ccstorms
Senior Member
Senior Member


Joined: Jul 10, 2006
Posts: 13143
Location: Cape Coral

PostPosted: Wed Nov 05, 2014 7:02 am    Post subject: Re: Atlantic Tropic Watch Reply with quote

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
700 AM EST WED NOV 5 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A large area of disturbed weather extending northward from the
northeastern Caribbean Sea into the Atlantic Ocean for several
hundred miles is associated with a weak surface trough and an
upper-level low. A surface low pressure system could form in this
area later today or tomorrow, and it could briefly acquire
subtropical characteristics while moving northwestward. After
that time, development is not expected while the disturbance moves
north-northeastward and merges with a frontal zone. Regardless of
formation, locally heavy rainfall and possible flooding should
continue across portions of the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, and the
Dominican Republic through tonight. For additional information on
the heavy rainfall threat, please consult products issued by your
national meteorological service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi
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ccstorms
Senior Member
Senior Member


Joined: Jul 10, 2006
Posts: 13143
Location: Cape Coral

PostPosted: Wed Nov 05, 2014 1:43 pm    Post subject: Re: Atlantic Tropic Watch Reply with quote

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
100 PM EST WED NOV 5 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A weak area of low pressure appears to be forming a couple of
hundred miles north of Puerto Rico. This system is interacting with
an upper-level low and is currently producing a large area of
disorganized cloudiness and showers. There is some potential for
this low to briefly acquire subtropical characteristics during
the next day or so while it moves northwestward. After that time,
development is not expected as the disturbance moves
north-northeastward and merges with a frontal zone. Regardless of
formation, locally heavy rainfall and possible flooding should
continue across Puerto Rico and the Dominican Republic through
tonight. For additional information on the heavy rainfall threat,
please consult products issued by your national meteorological
service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi/Beven
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ccstorms
Senior Member
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Joined: Jul 10, 2006
Posts: 13143
Location: Cape Coral

PostPosted: Sun Nov 30, 2014 1:56 pm    Post subject: Re: Atlantic Tropic Watch Reply with quote

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
100 PM EST SUN NOV 30 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A non-tropical low pressure area could develop a few hundred miles
northeast of the northern Leeward Islands by Thursday or Friday.
This system could gradually acquire subtropical characteristics
while it moves slowly northward to north-northeastward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Stewart



ECMWF at 168 hours.


ECMWF at 192 hours.


GFS at 144 hours.
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ccstorms
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Joined: Jul 10, 2006
Posts: 13143
Location: Cape Coral

PostPosted: Sun Nov 30, 2014 6:01 pm    Post subject: Re: Atlantic Tropic Watch Reply with quote

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
700 PM EST SUN NOV 30 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A non-tropical area of low pressure could develop a few hundred
miles northeast of the northern Leeward Islands by Thursday or
Friday. This system could gradually acquire some subtropical
characteristics while it moves slowly northward to north-
northeastward. Additional outlooks on this system will only be
issued if the development potential increases significantly.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

This is the last regularly scheduled Tropical Weather Outlook of the
2014 Atlantic hurricane season. Routine issuance of the Tropical
Weather Outlook will resume on June 1, 2015. During the off-season,
Special Tropical Weather Outlooks will be issued as conditions
warrant.

$$
Forecaster Brennan

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ccstorms
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Joined: Jul 10, 2006
Posts: 13143
Location: Cape Coral

PostPosted: Thu Dec 11, 2014 9:37 am    Post subject: Re: Atlantic Tropic Watch Reply with quote

New Storm Surge Warning graphic coming for 2015 season.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/news/20141211_p...raphic.pdf
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Post new topic   This topic is locked: you cannot edit posts or make replies.    Cape Coral | Southwest Florida Weather Forum Index -> 2014 Atlantic Basin Hurricane Season All times are GMT - 6 Hours
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