Capeweather.com | Southwest Florida Weather
 Click here to register!Home | Advertise | Forum | Live Webcams | Contact Us | Tell a Friend | Your Account  

Lee County Forecast
Overnight

Overnight: Mostly clear, with a low around 49. North wind around 10 mph.
Mostly Clear

Wednesday

Wednesday: Sunny, with a high near 66. North northeast wind 8 to 10 mph.
Sunny

Lo 49 °FHi 66 °F
Extended Forecast
Florida Weather Forecast

Southwest Florida Webcams

Main Navigation
Weather
· Home
· Current Conditions
· Storm Warnings
· Station Graphs
· Storm Fronts
· Station History
· Drought Index
· Storm Reports
· Rainfall Estimates
· Fire Graphs

Doppler Radar
· Lee County
· Charlotte County
· Collier County
· Hendry County
· Desoto County
· Glades County
· Sarasota County
· Manatee County
· Hillsborough County
· Pinellas County
· Pasco County
· Southwest Florida
· Florida
· State Radars
· National

Satellite
· South Florida
· North Florida
· Regional
· National

Forecast
· Extended
· Marine
· Discussion
· Florida Forecast
· Hazardous Outlook
· Wave Heights
· Fire

Lightning
· Live
· Tracker
· Loop
· Network
· WASP
· WASP Loop

Tropical Weather
· Hurricane Tracker
· Tropical Satellite
· Sea Temperature
· Discussion
· Buoy Data
· Tracking Tools
· Monthly Summary

Moon and Tides
· Tides
· Moon Phase

Live Products

Fishing Reports

Local News

Other Info

Support Us

Support Capeweather.com
donations

If you find this website useful, consider making
a donation.

Click here to learn more


  
Capeweather.com | Southwest Florida Weather: Forums

 
Cape Coral | Southwest Florida Weather :: View topic - Two Tropical Depressions lurking
 Forum FAQForum FAQ   SearchSearch   UsergroupsUsergroups  SmartFeedSmartFeed   ProfileProfile   Check your private messagesCheck your private messages   Log inLog in 

Two Tropical Depressions lurking

 
This forum is locked: you cannot post, reply to, or edit topics.   This topic is locked: you cannot edit posts or make replies.    Cape Coral | Southwest Florida Weather Forum Index -> 2005 Atlantic Basin Hurricane Season
View previous topic :: View next topic  
Author Message
chris
Site Admin
Site Admin


Joined: Jun 08, 2005
Posts: 3340
Location: Cape Coral, Florida

PostPosted: Sat Oct 01, 2005 4:14 pm    Post subject: Two Tropical Depressions lurking Reply with quote

Well the Tropical Wave we have been talking about finally formed in the Caribbean as Tropical Depression 20. It doesnt appear to be any threat to SW Florida, much less the US as it is drifting west near the Yucatan Peninsula. The latest advisory is quoted below from the NHC. Tropical Depression 19 doesnt appear to be a problem for us either as it is forecasted to head into the North Atlantic and possibly out of harms way for any part of US. Historically, the hurricane season should start to subside, according to the link below.

http://hurricanes.noaa.gov/prepare/images/season.gif

Quote:
000
WTNT35 KNHC 012042
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
4 PM CDT SAT OCT 01 2005

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION DRIFTING SLOWLY TOWARD THE EASTERN
YUCATAN PENINSULA...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE EASTERN COAST OF THE
YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM PUNTA GRUESA NORTHWARD TO CABO CATOCHE.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHWESTERN COAST OF
THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM WEST OF CABO CATOCHE WESTWARD TO
CAMPECHE.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL
DEPRESSION TWENTY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.2 NORTH... LONGITUDE
86.5 WEST OR ABOUT 95 MILES... 155 KM... SOUTHEAST OF TULUM MEXICO
AND ABOUT 95 MILES... 150 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF COZUMEL MEXICO.

THE DEPRESSION DRIFTING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD... BUT A FASTER MOTION
TOWARD THE WEST OR WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/HR... IS
EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATER TONIGHT AND CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
HOWEVER... THE DEPRESSION IS STILL IN THE FORMATIVE STAGE... SO
SOME ERRATIC MOTION MAY OCCUR. ON THE FORECAST TRACK... THIS SYSTEM
IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL ALONG THE EASTERN COAST OF THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA LATER TONIGHT OR EARLY SUNDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST BEFORE LANDFALL OCCURS... AND
THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY OR
TONIGHT. DURING THE PAST HOUR... NOAA BUOY 42056 LOCATED NORTH OF
THE CENTER BRIEFLY REPORTED A SUSTAINED WIND OF 34 MPH...54 KM/HR.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE
RESERVE UNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.

TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES... WITH ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES... WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA AND NORTHERN BELIZE. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5
INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE CAYMAN ISLANDS AND PORTIONS
WESTERN CUBA.

REPEATING THE 4 PM CDT POSITION...19.2 N... 86.5 W. MOVEMENT
DRIFTING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 7 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 10 PM CDT.

FORECASTER STEWART


$$

_________________
Chris
Site Admin
Facebook | Twitter | Instagram
Back to top
View user's profile Send private message Visit poster's website
SW46TER
Senior Member
Senior Member


Joined: Jul 11, 2005
Posts: 1202

PostPosted: Sat Oct 01, 2005 4:38 pm    Post subject: SAT 6:30 PM Reply with quote

TD# 20 has sure taken it's time getting it's act together but it is on the course layed out early this week. I do agree with the NHC that this will become a hurricane in the Southern Gulf and head into Mexico as high pressure ridges westward and will not allow a NW turn (a la Rita) into Texas. Landfall Tue night or Wed AM. I still feel strongly that another system will form in the next few days and and with strong high pressure to it's North and NW, this will now likely cross the FL Peninsula in the Wed-Thurs time frame. I don't feel it will have enough time to develop into more than a marginal TS, however, when this system gets into the Gulf it may become a wandering monster waiting out there to come back NE towards FL when the high weakens. Either way, the difference in pressure between the high and TS will cause increasingly strong East to NE winds in our area and a continuation of our recent wet pattern.........
Back to top
View user's profile Send private message
SW46TER
Senior Member
Senior Member


Joined: Jul 11, 2005
Posts: 1202

PostPosted: Sun Oct 02, 2005 6:53 am    Post subject: SUN AM Reply with quote

I could have waited until this morning and let the Tampa NWS office do my discussion from yesterday Very Happy


WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
300 AM EDT SUN OCT 2 2005

.SHORT TERM (TODAY-TUE)...HIGH PRESSURE TO CONTINUE TO RIDGE OVER THE AREA FROM THE NE AS NEWLY FORMED TROPICAL STORM STAN MOVES ACROSS THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND INTO THE SOUTHERN GULF/BAY OF CAMPECHE WHILE ANOTHER TROPICAL WAVE MOVES THROUGH THE WESTERN ATLANTIC AND APPROACHES THE EASTERN FL COAST BY TUESDAY. LOCATION OF THE TROPICAL WAVE WITH THE NAM STRONGER AND FURTHER WEST THAN THE GFS. WILL SEE HOW THIS RESOLVES WITH THE FUTURE RUNS TO SEE WHERE AND IF WILL NEED TO INCREASE POPS. WITH THE MOISTURE AND RAIN IN PLACE. MODERATE E/NE WINDS TO CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE PERIOD.

.LONG TERM (TUE NIGHT-SAT)...MODELS IN BETTER AGREEMENT WITH GENERAL WET PATTERN THRU THE PERIOD. RIDGING ALOFT CENTERED OVER THE EASTERN U.S. INTO THE DEEP SOUTH WHILE TUT LOW MOVES FROM THE N CARIB INTO THE E GULF EARLY IN THE PERIOD. SFC REFLECTION TROPICAL WAVE MOVES INTO THE EASTERN GULF AS WELL. BOTH FEATURES THEN STALL IN THE EASTERN GULF THRU MID WEEK. THE AREA WILL BE ON THE WETTER EASTERN SIDE OF WAVE WITH UPPER SUPPORT TO BRING ABOVE NORMAL DIURNAL SCT POPS. TROUGHINESS TO SET UP AND DEEPEN FROM THE GREAT LAKES TO NEW ENGLAND AND SOUTH TO THE GULF COAST REGION LATE IN THE PERIOD. ATTENDANT SFC COLD FRONT TO SWEEP THRU THE DEEP SOUTH. THIS EXPECTED
TO PUSH TROPICAL FEATURES BACK OVER THE STATE AHEAD OF COLD FRONT LATE WEEK INTO SAT AGAIN KEEPING POPS ABOVE NOMAL
Back to top
View user's profile Send private message
chris
Site Admin
Site Admin


Joined: Jun 08, 2005
Posts: 3340
Location: Cape Coral, Florida

PostPosted: Mon Oct 03, 2005 2:09 am    Post subject: Re: Two Tropical Depressions lurking Reply with quote

Very interesting indeed, so where is the system they are talking about. Stan seems to be looking better now that its back over open water again. The Yucatan kind of beat him up.
_________________
Chris
Site Admin
Facebook | Twitter | Instagram
Back to top
View user's profile Send private message Visit poster's website
chris
Site Admin
Site Admin


Joined: Jun 08, 2005
Posts: 3340
Location: Cape Coral, Florida

PostPosted: Mon Oct 03, 2005 2:14 am    Post subject: Re: Two Tropical Depressions lurking Reply with quote

Ahh, I see it now. Just had to look a little deeper into the info. Not looking to shabby out there even though the NHC says its disorganized.

Quote:
A BROAD AND DISORGANIZED AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...
ASSOCIATED WITH A WESTWARD-MOVING TROPICAL WAVE AND AN UPPER-LEVEL
TROUGH...IS LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES EAST OF THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS.
ALTHOUGH UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE CURRENTLY UNFAVORABLE FOR TROPICAL
CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT...THEY COULD BECOME MORE CONDUCIVE OVER THE
NEXT FEW DAYS AS THIS SYSTEM MOVES WESTWARD.

_________________
Chris
Site Admin
Facebook | Twitter | Instagram
Back to top
View user's profile Send private message Visit poster's website
Display posts from previous:   
This forum is locked: you cannot post, reply to, or edit topics.   This topic is locked: you cannot edit posts or make replies.    Cape Coral | Southwest Florida Weather Forum Index -> 2005 Atlantic Basin Hurricane Season All times are GMT - 6 Hours
Page 1 of 1

 
Jump to:  
You cannot post new topics in this forum
You cannot reply to topics in this forum
You cannot edit your posts in this forum
You cannot delete your posts in this forum
You cannot vote in polls in this forum

Powered by phpBB 2.0.10 © 2001 phpBB Group
phpBB port v2.1 based on Tom Nitzschner's phpbb2.0.6 upgraded to phpBB 2.0.4 standalone was developed and tested by:
ArtificialIntel, ChatServ, mikem,
sixonetonoffun and Paul Laudanski (aka Zhen-Xjell).

Version 2.1 by Nuke Cops © 2003 http://www.nukecops.com

  
Hurricane Tracker

Hurricane Tracker
Hurricane Tracker
2017 Storm Tracker Forum


Atlantic Storms
No Storms


Sponsored Links

Recent Forum Posts

New Post
SW FL-Bonita Beach: Sharks, Grouper, Snapper; Sheeps, Drum
Posted by
fishbuster on Nov 30, 2017 at 02:32:09 PM


New Post
SW FL-Bonita Beach:Nice trout Inshore;Keeper Mutton Offshore
Posted by
fishbuster on Nov 09, 2017 at 02:17:33 PM


New Post
Philippe- Final Advisory
Posted by
ccstorms on Oct 29, 2017 at 05:36:13 PM


New Post
Invest 92L- Deactivated
Posted by
ccstorms on Oct 17, 2017 at 06:12:31 AM


New Post
Ophelia- Final Advisory
Posted by
ccstorms on Oct 16, 2017 at 06:32:58 AM


New Post
Nate- Final Advisory
Posted by
ccstorms on Oct 08, 2017 at 02:04:43 PM


***FORUM RULES***

Member Login
Username

Password


Join For Free!!
Click here to Register!

Total Hits
We received
79786310
page views since June 2005

Sponsored Links

Social Networks

Southwest Florida Weather | Central Florida Weather | Florida Weather

Cape Coral | Fort Myers | Bonita Springs | Naples | Punta Gorda | Port Charlotte | Estero | Sanibel | Lehigh Acres | Captiva | Pine Island | Bokeelia | St. James City | Alva | Arcadia | Labelle | Clewiston | Venice

Lee County | Charlotte County | Collier County | Hendry County | Desoto County
Glades County | Monroe County | Sarasota County | Manatee County
Hillsborough County | Pinellas County | Pasco County

Recommend us




Copyright Capeweather.com 2005-2017

DO NOT make decisions that affect life or property based on this data!
PHP-Nuke Copyright © 2004 by Francisco Burzi. This is free software, and you may redistribute it under the GPL. PHP-Nuke comes with absolutely no warranty, for details, see the license.
Page Generation: 0.26 Seconds