Capeweather.com | Southwest Florida Weather
 Click here to register!Home | Advertise | Forum | Live Webcams | Contact Us | Tell a Friend | Your Account  

Lee County Forecast
This
Afternoon
This Afternoon: Sunny, with a high near 67. North wind around 9 mph.
Sunny

Tonight

Tonight: Clear, with a low around 48. North wind around 5 mph becoming calm  after midnight.
Clear

Hi 67 °FLo 48 °F
Extended Forecast
Florida Weather Forecast

Southwest Florida Webcams

Main Navigation
Weather
· Home
· Current Conditions
· Storm Warnings
· Station Graphs
· Storm Fronts
· Station History
· Drought Index
· Storm Reports
· Rainfall Estimates
· Fire Graphs

Doppler Radar
· Lee County
· Charlotte County
· Collier County
· Hendry County
· Desoto County
· Glades County
· Sarasota County
· Manatee County
· Hillsborough County
· Pinellas County
· Pasco County
· Southwest Florida
· Florida
· State Radars
· National

Satellite
· South Florida
· North Florida
· Regional
· National

Forecast
· Extended
· Marine
· Discussion
· Florida Forecast
· Hazardous Outlook
· Wave Heights
· Fire

Lightning
· Live
· Tracker
· Loop
· Network
· WASP
· WASP Loop

Tropical Weather
· Hurricane Tracker
· Tropical Satellite
· Sea Temperature
· Discussion
· Buoy Data
· Tracking Tools
· Monthly Summary

Moon and Tides
· Tides
· Moon Phase

Live Products

Fishing Reports

Local News

Other Info

Support Us

Support Capeweather.com
donations

If you find this website useful, consider making
a donation.

Click here to learn more


  
Capeweather.com | Southwest Florida Weather: Forums

 
Cape Coral | Southwest Florida Weather :: View topic - SOUTH FLORIDA HURRICANE THREAT NEXT WEEKEND........
 Forum FAQForum FAQ   SearchSearch   UsergroupsUsergroups  SmartFeedSmartFeed   ProfileProfile   Check your private messagesCheck your private messages   Log inLog in 

SOUTH FLORIDA HURRICANE THREAT NEXT WEEKEND........
Goto page 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7  Next
 
This forum is locked: you cannot post, reply to, or edit topics.   This topic is locked: you cannot edit posts or make replies.    Cape Coral | Southwest Florida Weather Forum Index -> 2005 Atlantic Basin Hurricane Season
View previous topic :: View next topic  
Author Message
SW46TER
Senior Member
Senior Member


Joined: Jul 11, 2005
Posts: 1202

PostPosted: Fri Oct 14, 2005 8:04 pm    Post subject: SOUTH FLORIDA HURRICANE THREAT NEXT WEEKEND........ Reply with quote

I'll be brief now and elaborate more as the event becomes clearer in the days ahead. Convection in the NW Carribean will becom TS Wilma early next week. A piece of the Eastern trof which just brought the seasons first dry front through today will back SW and Wilma will be drawn North during the week. It is a bit early for exact tracking as the system has yet to develop but it appears to me as if it may come up just west or along the SW coast of FL by next weekend. Do not take this idea as gospel..........things can certainly change. Just keep in the back of your mind that next weekend could feature a major hurricane passing by/through on it's way North to phase with the polar jet and potentially cause a 1992 like super storm up the East coast. More later...
Back to top
View user's profile Send private message
chris
Site Admin
Site Admin


Joined: Jun 08, 2005
Posts: 3340
Location: Cape Coral, Florida

PostPosted: Fri Oct 14, 2005 9:37 pm    Post subject: Re: SOUTH FLORIDA HURRICANE THREAT NEXT WEEKEND........ Reply with quote

I saw this earlier today and was wondering what was coming about with this system. Already, the system appears to be blowing up but anything could happen I'm sure. It sure is tracking very slowly which could make it strengthen even more if the system makes it in the Gulf. These storms that form in the Northern Caribbean are so hard to track with all the frontal boundrys that approach from the north and shift them around. The next couple of days we should have a better idea where its going to track and eventually end up. Right now might be a little to early to tell. Confused
_________________
Chris
Site Admin
Facebook | Twitter | Instagram
Back to top
View user's profile Send private message Visit poster's website
chris
Site Admin
Site Admin


Joined: Jun 08, 2005
Posts: 3340
Location: Cape Coral, Florida

PostPosted: Sun Oct 16, 2005 5:28 am    Post subject: TD #24 Reply with quote

The 5-day projectory doesnt look to good for TD #24.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphic...shtml?5day
_________________
Chris
Site Admin
Facebook | Twitter | Instagram
Back to top
View user's profile Send private message Visit poster's website
SW46TER
Senior Member
Senior Member


Joined: Jul 11, 2005
Posts: 1202

PostPosted: Sun Oct 16, 2005 7:54 am    Post subject: Re: SOUTH FLORIDA HURRICANE THREAT NEXT WEEKEND........ Reply with quote

Again briefly..................Storm should be TS Wilma by days end and meander slowely W then Nw the next few days as strong high ridging down over Florida will temporarily surpress it's Northward move. By Tuesday a more NNW move should begin and it should become a strong Cat 2-Cat 3 storm before passing over/near Western Cuba later thursday. Storm then gradually feels Westerlies and begins turning NE towards Floridas West Coast. Unable to determine if it's Ft Myers...Tampa etc yet. But it appears this storm will have a big effect around here Friday-Saturday. My best guess is Cat 3 at landfall right now......................More Later.................
Back to top
View user's profile Send private message
SW46TER
Senior Member
Senior Member


Joined: Jul 11, 2005
Posts: 1202

PostPosted: Sun Oct 16, 2005 9:25 pm    Post subject: Re: SOUTH FLORIDA HURRICANE THREAT NEXT WEEKEND........ Reply with quote

SUN 11pm..............Briefly, do not be fooled by the westward shift in the US models. They are having a tough time with the slow erratic movement of Wilma. While the westward drift will probably delay a Florida landfall until Sat-Sun period, a NE curve IMO is still likely and the Euro's last run has a strong Cat 3 moving over our backyard.....that concerns me!!! Will try and get Euro map up ASAP..................
Back to top
View user's profile Send private message
SW46TER
Senior Member
Senior Member


Joined: Jul 11, 2005
Posts: 1202

PostPosted: Mon Oct 17, 2005 5:17 am    Post subject: Re: SOUTH FLORIDA HURRICANE THREAT NEXT WEEKEND........ Reply with quote

Here is a look at late yesterday's Euro model...........It's got a storm with pressures as low as Rita over us.......Models will take until Thursday to start coming to a consensus with all kinds of crazy flip-floping until then.

http://www.capeweather.com/JeffsImages/Wilma.jpg
Back to top
View user's profile Send private message
SW46TER
Senior Member
Senior Member


Joined: Jul 11, 2005
Posts: 1202

PostPosted: Mon Oct 17, 2005 9:59 am    Post subject: Mon-12 noon Reply with quote

The link below shows the very light to non existing steering currents affecting Wilma. My thinking is although she is still drifting West, the stronger she becomes, the more she will pump the high to her East which will expand it westward from the Atlantic. If you follow the isobars on the Western side of that high, you will get an idea of why I feel Wilma will get turned NE or even ENE (a la Charley) into the West coast of Florida. I still feel a landfall between Naples and Tampa is most likely on Sunday night. I will not zero in until I see how Wilma interacts with the Yucatan in a couple of days. The storm will most likely reach Cat 4 strength if no real landfall in the Yucatan is reached, but will SLOWLY weaken on it's way into Florida. (Naples= Cat 3......Tampa = Cat 2).

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real-...8dlm1.html
Back to top
View user's profile Send private message
SW46TER
Senior Member
Senior Member


Joined: Jul 11, 2005
Posts: 1202

PostPosted: Mon Oct 17, 2005 10:01 am    Post subject: Re: SOUTH FLORIDA HURRICANE THREAT NEXT WEEKEND........ Reply with quote

Click on -3hrs then +3hrs to bring up current map............sorry
Back to top
View user's profile Send private message
SW46TER
Senior Member
Senior Member


Joined: Jul 11, 2005
Posts: 1202

PostPosted: Mon Oct 17, 2005 10:08 am    Post subject: Re: SOUTH FLORIDA HURRICANE THREAT NEXT WEEKEND........ Reply with quote

Click on link below to keep track of the Model circus every 6 hours......

http://www.sfwmd.gov/org/omd/ops/weathe...orm_24.gif
Back to top
View user's profile Send private message
tropix
Advanced Member
Advanced Member


Joined: Oct 16, 2005
Posts: 29

PostPosted: Mon Oct 17, 2005 1:50 pm    Post subject: Wilma development Reply with quote

Maybe of some interest. I happen to get also the latest reports from Cuba. No clue as to how your Spanish is, but here we go...

WOCU31 MUHV 1711601.
Aviso de Ciclón Tropical.
Centro de Pronósticos, INSMET.

Fecha: 17 de Octubre de 2005. Hora: 12:01 PM.

AVISO DE CICLON TROPICAL No. 8.

TORMENTA TROPICAL WILMA.

...La Tormenta Tropical Wilma gana en organización e intensidad...

Se recomienda prestar mucha atención a la evolución y desarrollo de la Tormenta Tropical "Wilma" situada al Sur de Cuba por el peligro potencial que representa para Cuba.

Areas de chubascos, lluvias y tormentas eléctricas asociadas a las bandas externas de este sistema continuarán influyendo durante las próximas 12 a 24 horas sobre las provincias de Guantánamo, Santiago de Cuba, Granma y hasta Camagüey, las que pueden ser fuertes y localmente intensas en zonas montañosas y de la costa Sur, como ha estado ocurriendo durante las últimas horas.

La Tormenta Tropical Wilma en el Mar Caribe occidental continuó ganando en organización e intensidad durante la mañana y ahora sus vientos máximos sostenidos son de 75 kilómetros por hora con rachas superiores. Su presión central ha descendido hasta 998 hectoPascal.

En las últimas horas se ha movido lentamente hacia el Suroeste a unos 7 kilómetros por hora.

Al mediodía de hoy, su centro fue estimado en los 16.3 grados de latitud Norte y los 80.0 grados de longitud Oeste, posición que lo sitúa a unos 355 kilómetros al Sursudeste de la Isla Caimán Grande en el Caribe occidental.

Se pronostica que en las próximas 12 a 24 horas este sistema se moverá entre el Suroeste y el Oeste muy lentamente, aunque en ocasiones se tornará errático.

Continuará ganando gradualmente en organización e intensidad y puede llegar a la categoría de huracán en las próximas 24 a 36 horas.

El próximo Aviso de Ciclón Tropical se emitirá a las seis de la tarde de hoy.



/Bert/
Back to top
View user's profile Send private message
Display posts from previous:   
This forum is locked: you cannot post, reply to, or edit topics.   This topic is locked: you cannot edit posts or make replies.    Cape Coral | Southwest Florida Weather Forum Index -> 2005 Atlantic Basin Hurricane Season All times are GMT - 6 Hours
Goto page 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7  Next
Page 1 of 7

 
Jump to:  
You cannot post new topics in this forum
You cannot reply to topics in this forum
You cannot edit your posts in this forum
You cannot delete your posts in this forum
You cannot vote in polls in this forum

Powered by phpBB 2.0.10 © 2001 phpBB Group
phpBB port v2.1 based on Tom Nitzschner's phpbb2.0.6 upgraded to phpBB 2.0.4 standalone was developed and tested by:
ArtificialIntel, ChatServ, mikem,
sixonetonoffun and Paul Laudanski (aka Zhen-Xjell).

Version 2.1 by Nuke Cops © 2003 http://www.nukecops.com

  
Hurricane Tracker

Hurricane Tracker
Hurricane Tracker
2017 Storm Tracker Forum


Atlantic Storms
No Storms


Sponsored Links

Recent Forum Posts

New Post
SW FL-Bonita Beach: Sharks, Grouper, Snapper; Sheeps, Drum
Posted by
fishbuster on Nov 30, 2017 at 02:32:09 PM


New Post
SW FL-Bonita Beach:Nice trout Inshore;Keeper Mutton Offshore
Posted by
fishbuster on Nov 09, 2017 at 02:17:33 PM


New Post
Philippe- Final Advisory
Posted by
ccstorms on Oct 29, 2017 at 05:36:13 PM


New Post
Invest 92L- Deactivated
Posted by
ccstorms on Oct 17, 2017 at 06:12:31 AM


New Post
Ophelia- Final Advisory
Posted by
ccstorms on Oct 16, 2017 at 06:32:58 AM


New Post
Nate- Final Advisory
Posted by
ccstorms on Oct 08, 2017 at 02:04:43 PM


***FORUM RULES***

Member Login
Username

Password


Join For Free!!
Click here to Register!

Total Hits
We received
79745346
page views since June 2005

Sponsored Links

Social Networks

Southwest Florida Weather | Central Florida Weather | Florida Weather

Cape Coral | Fort Myers | Bonita Springs | Naples | Punta Gorda | Port Charlotte | Estero | Sanibel | Lehigh Acres | Captiva | Pine Island | Bokeelia | St. James City | Alva | Arcadia | Labelle | Clewiston | Venice

Lee County | Charlotte County | Collier County | Hendry County | Desoto County
Glades County | Monroe County | Sarasota County | Manatee County
Hillsborough County | Pinellas County | Pasco County

Recommend us




Copyright Capeweather.com 2005-2017

DO NOT make decisions that affect life or property based on this data!
PHP-Nuke Copyright © 2004 by Francisco Burzi. This is free software, and you may redistribute it under the GPL. PHP-Nuke comes with absolutely no warranty, for details, see the license.
Page Generation: 0.41 Seconds