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Cape Coral | Southwest Florida Weather :: View topic - Invest 92L- Deactivated
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Invest 92L- Deactivated
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Post new topic   Reply to topic    Cape Coral | Southwest Florida Weather Forum Index -> 2017 Atlantic Basin Hurricane Season Discussion
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ccstorms
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Joined: Jul 10, 2006
Posts: 13143
Location: Cape Coral

PostPosted: Fri Oct 13, 2017 12:21 pm    Post subject: Invest 92L- Deactivated Reply with quote

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Fri Oct 13 2017

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Ophelia, located over the eastern Atlantic Ocean several hundred
miles southwest of the Azores.

1. A broad area of low pressure located about 250 miles east of the
northern Leeward Islands is producing disorganized showers and
thunderstorms, mainly to the east of the surface low. Upper-level
winds are not expected to be conducive for significant development
during the next couple of days while the system moves west-
northwestward at 15 to 20 mph and passes near or north of the
Leeward Islands and the Virgin Islands. However, environmental
conditions could become a little more conducive for some development
early next week while the system begins to move northward over the
west-central Atlantic Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

Forecaster Zelinsky





Last edited by ccstorms on Tue Oct 17, 2017 6:00 am; edited 6 times in total
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ccstorms
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Joined: Jul 10, 2006
Posts: 13143
Location: Cape Coral

PostPosted: Sat Oct 14, 2017 5:07 am    Post subject: Re: Invest 92L- Deactivated Reply with quote

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Sat Oct 14 2017

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Ophelia, located over the eastern Atlantic Ocean several hundred
miles southwest of the Azores.

1. A broad area of low pressure located about 150 miles east of the
northern Leeward Islands is producing disorganized showers and
thunderstorms, mainly to the east of the surface low. Recent
satellite-derived surface wind data indicate that gale-force winds
were occurring in squalls, and occasional strong wind gusts will
continue to occur in some of the heavier showers. Upper-level winds
are expected to remain unfavorable for development during the next
couple of days while the system moves west-northwestward at 15 to 20
mph, and passes near or north of the Leeward Islands and the Virgin
Islands. However, environmental conditions could become a little
more conducive for some development early next week when the system
begins to move northward and then recurves over the west-central
Atlantic Ocean. Additional information on this system can be found
in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

Additional information on this system can be found in High Seas
Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. ..under AWIPS
header NFDHSFAT1 and WMO header FZNT01 KWBC.

Forecaster Stewart



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ccstorms
Senior Member
Senior Member


Joined: Jul 10, 2006
Posts: 13143
Location: Cape Coral

PostPosted: Sat Oct 14, 2017 6:34 am    Post subject: Re: Invest 92L- Deactivated Reply with quote

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sat Oct 14 2017

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Ophelia, located over the eastern Atlantic Ocean several hundred
miles south-southwest of the Azores.

1. Radar and surface observations from the eastern Caribbean indicate
that a broad area of low pressure is gradually approaching the
Leeward Islands. This low is accompanied by showers and squalls
mainly to the east of the center, and this activity is expected to
spread westward over the Leeward Islands and the Virgin Islands
today and Sunday. Upper-level winds are expected to be unfavorable
for development during the next couple of days, but the environment
could turn favorable for some development early next week when the
system begins to move northward and then recurves over the
west-central Atlantic Ocean. Additional information on this system
can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather
Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

Additional information on this system can be found in High Seas
Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service under AWIPS
header NFDHSFAT1 and WMO header FZNT01 KWBC.

Forecaster Avila
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ccstorms
Senior Member
Senior Member


Joined: Jul 10, 2006
Posts: 13143
Location: Cape Coral

PostPosted: Sat Oct 14, 2017 11:51 am    Post subject: Re: Invest 92L- Deactivated Reply with quote

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Sat Oct 14 2017

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Ophelia, located over the eastern Atlantic Ocean a couple of hundred
miles south of the Azores.

1. A broad area of low pressure centered just east of the northern
Leeward Islands is accompanied by numerous showers and squalls
mainly to the east of the center. This activity is expected to
spread over the Leeward Islands and the Virgin Islands today and
Sunday. Upper-level winds are expected to remain unfavorable for
development during the next couple of days, but the environment
could turn a little more favorable for some development early next
week when the system begins to move northward and then recurves over
the west-central Atlantic Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

Forecaster Avila

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ccstorms
Senior Member
Senior Member


Joined: Jul 10, 2006
Posts: 13143
Location: Cape Coral

PostPosted: Sat Oct 14, 2017 6:33 pm    Post subject: Re: Invest 92L- Deactivated Reply with quote

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Sat Oct 14 2017

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Ophelia, located over the eastern Atlantic Ocean about 100 miles
southeast of the eastern Azores.

1. A broad area of low pressure centered near the northern Leeward
Islands is producing disorganized showers and squalls over portions
of the Leeward Islands and adjacent waters. This activity is
expected to spread over the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico tonight
and Sunday. Upper-level winds are expected to remain unfavorable
for development during the next day or two, but the environment
could become a little more conducive for some development early next
week when the system begins to move northward and then recurves over
the west-central Atlantic Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

Forecaster Brown
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ccstorms
Senior Member
Senior Member


Joined: Jul 10, 2006
Posts: 13143
Location: Cape Coral

PostPosted: Sun Oct 15, 2017 4:11 am    Post subject: Re: Invest 92L- Deactivated Reply with quote

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Sun Oct 15 2017

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Ophelia, located over the eastern Atlantic Ocean more than 300 miles
east of the easternmost Azores.

1. A broad trough of low pressure centered over the Virgin Islands and
the northern Leeward Islands is producing disorganized showers and
squalls over portions of the Leeward Islands and adjacent Atlantic
waters. This activity is expected to spread across the Virgin
Islands and Puerto Rico later this morning and continue into the
afternoon. Upper-level winds are forecast to remain hostile for any
significant development to occur during the next day or two.
However, the environment could become somewhat more conducive for
development by early next week when the system begins to move
northward and then recurves over the west-central Atlantic Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

Forecaster Stewart



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ccstorms
Senior Member
Senior Member


Joined: Jul 10, 2006
Posts: 13143
Location: Cape Coral

PostPosted: Sun Oct 15, 2017 12:23 pm    Post subject: Re: Invest 92L- Deactivated Reply with quote

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Sun Oct 15 2017

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Ophelia, located over the far eastern Atlantic Ocean more than 600
miles east-northeast of the Azores.

1. A broad area of low pressure is moving toward the west-northwest and
is now located about 150 miles north of Hispaniola. The low is
producing numerous showers and a few squalls mainly to the east of
the center. Since upper-level winds are not particularly favorable
for tropical cyclone formation, further development of this system,
if any, will be slow to occur. The low and its associated activity
is forecast to move toward the northwest and north during the next
two to three days. After that time, this system is expected to merge
with a cold front.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.



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ccstorms
Senior Member
Senior Member


Joined: Jul 10, 2006
Posts: 13143
Location: Cape Coral

PostPosted: Sun Oct 15, 2017 7:16 pm    Post subject: Re: Invest 92L- Deactivated Reply with quote

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Sun Oct 15 2017

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Ophelia, located over the far eastern Atlantic Ocean a few hundred
miles south-southwest of Ireland.

1. A large area of showers and thunderstorms located over the
southwestern Atlantic Ocean between Puerto Rico and Bermuda is
associated with a broad area of low pressure, which is centered
about 150 miles east-northeast of the Turks and Caicos Islands.
Any development of this low while it moves generally northward over
the western Atlantic during the next day or so is expected to be
slow to occur due to strong upper-level winds, and the system is
likely to merge with a front and become extratropical in a couple of
days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

Forecaster Berg
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ccstorms
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Senior Member


Joined: Jul 10, 2006
Posts: 13143
Location: Cape Coral

PostPosted: Mon Oct 16, 2017 4:37 am    Post subject: Re: Invest 92L- Deactivated Reply with quote

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Mon Oct 16 2017

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center has issued the last advisory on
Hurricane Ophelia, located over the far northeastern Atlantic Ocean
a couple of hundred miles south-southwest of Ireland.

1. A low pressure system located about 100 miles east-northeast of the
Turks and Caicos Islands is gradually becoming better defined.
Associated thunderstorm activity has increased and become a little
better organized this morning, and gale-force winds have been
occurring in squalls northeast of the center. Some development of
this low will be possible during the next day or so while it moves
generally northward over the western Atlantic. However, upper-level
winds are expected to become unfavorable for tropical cyclone
formation by late Tuesday, and the system is likely to merge with a
front and become extratropical on Wednesday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.



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ccstorms
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Joined: Jul 10, 2006
Posts: 13143
Location: Cape Coral

PostPosted: Mon Oct 16, 2017 6:28 am    Post subject: Re: Invest 92L- Deactivated Reply with quote

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Mon Oct 16 2017

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low
pressure located about 175 miles north-northeast of the Turks and
Caicos Islands have increased overnight. Although the system is
producing wind gusts to near tropical-storm force, satellite
imagery suggests that it lacks a well-defined center. Upper-level
winds are forecast to remain marginally conducive for some
additional development during the next day or so while the system
moves generally northward. Conditions are expected to become
unfavorable for further development by Wednesday when the
disturbance merges with a frontal system over the western Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

Forecaster Brown



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